The election polls closed 48 minutes ago. All the TV channels are showing the votes adding up on screen. I don’t understand what is going on. Of the four channels we are flipping back and forth from, there are 3 different vote counts being displayed for the two sides (Blue and the President Chen’s Green). Two Channels have the KMT etc. (Blue) in the lead by 20,000 votes or so, one channel has it in the lead by 100,000 votes and the fourth channel has President Chen’s DPP etc. (Green) in the lead by 20,000. I don’t understand why there are these different counts…because of the way the numbers differ, it not just a matter of time lag. I’ll update this through this evening as I continue to watch. See the updates below:
Blue=KMT etc. (Lian and Song)
Green=DPP etc. (President Chen Shuibian)
- 16:50 TTV is showing KMT in the lead by 400,000 votes, TVBS shows KMT in the lead by 15,000, CTI shows KMT in the lead by 6,000 votes…
- 17:10 Channel 37 (?): Green by about 50,000 TVBS: Blue by about 15,000 TTV (Channel 40): Blue by about 350,000 CTI: Blue by 40,000 Minshi Xinwen: Green by 25,000 SET: Green by 100,000 TTV (Channel 44?) Blue by 350,000
- 17:30 Channel 37 (?): Blue by 3,000 TVBS: Blue by 200,000 TTV (Channel 40): Blue by 400,000 CTI: Blue by 40,000 Minshi Xinwen: Green by 50,000 SET: Blue by 80,000 TTV (Channel 44?) Blue by 410,000
- 18:00 Channel 37 (?): Blue by 60,000 at 5,324,264 TVBS: Blue by 18,000 with 5,346,171 TTV: Blue by 150,000 with 5,634,425 CTI: Blue by 200,000 at 5,589,979 Minshi Xinwen: Green by 130,000 at 5,078,662 SET: Blue by 70,000 at 5,494,622 Taishi (Ch. 8) Green by 1000 at 5,470,696 CTV (Ch. 10) Green by 50,000 at 5,933,906 Huashi (Ch. 12) Green by 50,000 at 5,383,564
Referendum Results Got more than the 50% it needs to count, Minshi Xinwen scores show overwhelming support for both measures. - 18:30 Channel 37 (?): Green by 17,000 at 6,162,565 TVBS: Green by 116,000 at 5,745,747 TTV: Green by 54,000 at 6,162,551 CTI: Green by 50,000 at 6,312,241 Minshi Xinwen: Green by 100,000 at 6,018,878 SET: Green by 30,000 at 5,954,745 Taishi (Ch. 8) Green by 3,000 at 6,261,157 CTV (Ch. 10) Green by 51,000 at 6,179,834 Huashi (Ch. 12) Green by 23,000 at 6,085,621
- 19:00 Channel 37 (?): Green by 60,000 at 6,306,247 TVBS: Green by 52,000 at 6,399,558 TTV: Green by 42,000 at 6,359,133 CTI: Green by 40,000 at 6,441,478 Minshi Xinwen: Green by 52,000 at 6,194,353 SET: Green by 90,000 at 6,334,543 Taishi (Ch. 8) Green by 7,000 at 6,359,499 CTV (Ch. 10) Green by 51,000 at 6,179,834 Huashi (Ch. 12) Green by 50,000 at 6,239,652
Notes: People seem to be getting crazy now as the number of uncounted votes are dwindling, massive partying by the DPP, referendum votes are overwhelming for the two measures (strengthen defense and conduct dialogue) but Reuters is reporting there is probably not enough of the electorate voting in the referendum for it to count. - 19:30 Channel 37 (?): Green by 130,000 at 6,514,209 TVBS: Green by 27,000 at 6,469,171 TTV: Green by 31,000 at 6,453,162 CTI: Green by 27,000 at 6,469,187 Minshi Xinwen: Green by 80,000 at 6,324,697 SET: Green by 36,000 at 6,466,477 Taishi (Ch. 8) Green by 21,000 at 6,421,698 CTV (Ch. 10) Green by 28,000 at 6,454,888 Huashi (Ch. 12) Green by 100,000 at 6,312,654
Note: The vote number I’m giving is the amount of votes for the winner and the number of votes they are ahead is only approximate. - 20:00 Channel 37 (?): Green by 23,000 at 6,463,568 TVBS: Green by 27,000 at 6,470,517 TTV: Green by 27,000 at 6,470,516 CTI: Green by 27,000 at 6,470,517 Minshi Xinwen: 89,000 at 6,393,918 SET: Green by 34,000 at 6,471,700 Taishi (Ch. 8) Green by 27,000 CTV (Ch. 10) Green by 27,000 at 6,470,786 Huashi (Ch. 12) Green by 33,000 at 6,476221
The 20:00 TV update will be my last. Sayaka and I have been watching this since about 16:30 this afternoon, with snacks in hand, and while at least all the channels now seem to agree that the president is going to slide into a second term, many still have different numbers. We are now going to head over to the DPP election headquarters (競選總部) here in Taipei where, at least on TV, there seems to be one massive happy victory party going on. The heading at the bottom of CTI TV channel right now says, 陳水扁輕傷，國民黨重傷 (Chen Shuibian received a minor injury, the Nationalist party has been badly injured) referring to the assassination attempt yesterday and the current grim election outcome for the KMT party. The KMT crowds look pretty miserable and their horns are not blowing with much enthusiasm any more, but their party spokesman (who I believe uttered the above line) says “we will never leave the KMT” Personally, I would like to see the party, with its long and marred history, dissolve and a new political scene develop in time for the next election. Ok, we are off to find the party…
Hi Konrad, My supervisor got me tipsy yesterday and I acted on an impulse to wipe my blog clean. Ooops. I must stop doing that. I always do this. I look at all the really good writing on the blogosphere, look at my diary style blog and think ‘No, no, no. I want to do so much better!’ My boyfriend pointed out later that I could’ve stored the stuff offline instead of deleting the lot of it. Anyway, I’m going to undo a few of the changes and start my new project on it. I want to do something a bit like this site, cronaca and language hat, writing about history. The difference is that I want to aim myself at people who are about 10 to 15 years younger than me, love history and want to do more than the school curriculum offers. To be honest I think it’ll be a challenge because it’ll take a lot more thought than the stuff I usually write. Also, how do you pitch it at the right level? Too low and it’s patronising, too high and it won’t work. Having said that, I don’t suppose I’ll ever get anyone of that age group reading it! :)
Hi Konrad!
I saw you reference this blog on Orkut, and I’m
just dropping in a note to say I appreciate
you putting these results up so frequently.
Keep up the good work!
William
William, thanks for your posting, and hope you continue to drop by.
3 media watchdogs have criticized the media in Taiwan for exaggerating the polls as they came in when using exit polls. My friends told me all these numbers were as good as made up when they were displayed.